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Nobel Laureates

Hold-up and Sequential Specific Investments


Volume: Volume 35, No. 2

Issue: Summer 2004

Pages: 386-400

Authors: Vladimir Smirnov and Andrew Wait

Title: Hold-up and Sequential Specific Investments

Abstract: We explore the hold-up problem when parties can make investments simultaneously or sequentially. Sequencing of investments can allow some projects to proceed that would not be feasible with a simultaneous regime. However, a cost of sequencing is that it can disadvantage some parties, reducing their incentive to invest. The mere possibility of sequential investment can prevent trade from occurring; this can be interpreted as a new form of hold-up. If both parties prefer to invest second, as the number of potential investment periods is increased, the subgame-perfect equilibrium can switch between a prisoners' dilemma and a coordination game.