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Nobel Laureates

Imperfect Information, Dividend Policy, and "The Bird in the Hand" Fallacy


Volume: Volume 10, No. 1

Issue: Spring 1979

Pages: pp. 259-270

Authors: Sudipto Bhattacharya

Title: Imperfect Information, Dividend Policy, and "The Bird in the Hand" Fallacy

Abstract: This paper assumes that outside investors have imperfect information about firms' profitability and that cash dividends are taxed at a higher rate than capital gains. It is shown that under these conditions, such dividends function as a signal of expected cash flows. By structuring the model so that finite-lived investors turn over continuing projects to succeeding generations of investors, we derive a comparative static result that relates the equilibrium level of dividend payout to the length of investors' planning horizons.


JEL Classification

Business Finance (5210)
Capital Markets: Theory, Including Portfolio Selection, and Empirical Studies Illustrating Theory (3131)